
Scientists Warn the World Will End in 2026 – In a stark warning that dramatically accelerates the timeline for climate action, leading climate scientists announced Thursday that the world has only two years remaining before exhausting its carbon budget necessary to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and avoid climate catastrophe.
The findings, published in the journal “Nature Climate Science,” represent the most urgent deadline yet in the global fight against climate change, significantly shortening previous estimates that suggested a 5-to-7-year window.
“We’re no longer talking about a future crisis – we’re in the midst of one,” said Dr. Sarah Chen, lead author of the study and climate scientist at the Global Climate Research Institute (GCRI). “The mathematics is brutally simple: at current emission rates, we’ll exceed our carbon budget by early 2026.”
The research, which analyzed carbon emission trends and atmospheric data from the past decade, reveals that humans have already used 93% of the carbon budget allocated to maintain temperature rises within relatively safe limits.
The international team of scientists, representing 15 research institutions across nine countries, employed advanced climate modeling systems and real-time atmospheric monitoring to reach their conclusions. Their findings suggest that global annual emissions must decrease by at least 43% within the next 24 months to maintain any realistic chance of meeting the Paris Agreement goals.
“What makes this particularly challenging is that global emissions actually increased by 1.2% in 2023,” explained Dr. Marcus Rodriguez, a contributing author from the Climate Action Research Center. “We’re still moving in the wrong direction, and time is running out far faster than previously calculated.”
The study highlights several key factors that have accelerated the timeline:
- Faster than expected methane releases from thawing permafrost
- Reduced effectiveness of natural carbon sinks, including forests and oceans
- Higher than projected emissions from developing nations
- Unexpected increases in industrial emissions following the post-pandemic economic recovery
The economic implications of such a compressed timeline are profound. The World Economic Forum estimates that transitioning to a net-zero economy within two years would require unprecedented global investment of approximately $9.2 trillion annually.
“We’re looking at an economic transformation unlike anything in human history,” said Economics Professor Elena Kovacs at the London School of Economics, who wasn’t involved in the study. “The cost of action is enormous, but the cost of inaction is incalculable.”
The report has already triggered responses from world leaders. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen called for an emergency EU summit, while U.S. Climate Envoy John Kerry described the findings as “a final wake-up call that cannot be ignored.”
However, some climate scientists argue that the two-year deadline might actually be optimistic. “The study uses conservative estimates and doesn’t fully account for potential tipping points in the climate system,” said Dr. James Harrison from the Climate Crisis Institute. “The reality could be even more urgent.”
The report outlines several immediate actions required to meet this challenge:
- Immediate phase-out of all new fossil fuel infrastructure
- Rapid deployment of renewable energy systems
- Implementation of carbon pricing mechanisms globally
- Massive scale-up of carbon capture technologies
- Transformation of agricultural practices
- Revolutionary changes in transportation systems
“This isn’t just about government action,” emphasized Dr. Chen. “Every sector of society needs to transform at a pace we’ve never seen before. We’re talking about changes in how we live, work, eat, and travel – all within the next 24 months.”
Despite the daunting timeline, the researchers stress that meeting this challenge is technically feasible with existing technologies and sufficient political will. “The solutions exist,” said Rodriguez. “What we lack is time and, so far, the collective will to implement them at the necessary scale.”
The study concludes with a sobering assessment: failure to meet this two-year deadline would likely trigger cascading climate impacts that could render large portions of the Earth uninhabitable by mid-century.
But is it true?
This is not the first time scientists have falsly claimed that the end of the world is near.
There is a well-documented history of dramatic, exaggerated climate predictions from a wide range of figures, including Greta Thunberg, politicians, scientists, and UN officials. While the underlying scientific consensus recognizes climate change as a serious threat, the record shows that many specific “end of the world” deadlines have not come to pass as predicted.
Major Failed or Exaggerated Climate Doomsday Predictions
Year/Decade | Person/Source | Prediction | Outcome/Status |
---|---|---|---|
1969-1970 | Paul Ehrlich (Biologist) | Mass starvation, collapse of civilization by 1980s/1990s; “everybody will disappear in 20 years” | Did not occur |
1970 | George Wald (Harvard Biologist) | Civilization will end within 15-30 years (by 1985 or 2000) | Did not occur |
1970 | S. Dillon Ripley (Smithsonian) | 75-80% of species extinct by 1995 | Did not occur |
1970 | Kenneth Watt (Ecologist) | World will be 11°F colder by 2000; new Ice Age by 21st century | Did not occur |
1970 | Peter Gunter (North Texas State Univ.) | Global famine by 2000, except Western Europe, N. America, Australia | Did not occur |
1970 | Barry Commoner (Biologist) | Environmental crisis threatens world’s survival | Did not occur |
1970 | NY Times Editorial | Pollution could cause “possible extinction” | Did not occur |
1971 | Dr. S. I. Rasool (NASA) | New Ice Age within 50 years (by 2021) | Did not occur |
1974 | The Guardian | “New Ice Age is Coming Fast” | Did not occur |
1975 | Paul Ehrlich | 90% of tropical rainforests gone, half of species extinct by 2005 | Did not occur |
1988 | Hussein Shihab (Maldives Official) | Maldives underwater by 2018; no drinking water by 1992 | Did not occur |
1989 | UN Environmental Official | Nations wiped out by rising seas by 2000 | Did not occur |
2004 | Pentagon Analysis | Global anarchy, European cities underwater, UK “Siberian” by 2020 | Did not occur |
2006 | Al Gore (Former VP) | 10 years to avoid “point of no return” | Did not occur |
2007 | Rajendra Pachauri (UN IPCC) | After 2012, too late to prevent catastrophe | Did not occur |
2008 | Ted Turner (Media Mogul) | Mass death, cannibalism within 30-40 years | Did not occur (ongoing) |
2008 | Ted Alvarez (Backpacker Magazine) | Arctic ice-free by summer 2008 | Did not occur |
2009 | Al Gore | Arctic Ocean ice-free by 2014 | Did not occur |
2009 | ABC News Special | NYC underwater by 2015 | Did not occur |
2014 | James Anderson (Harvard) | No Arctic ice by 2022; humanity wiped out by 2023 (amplified by Greta Thunberg) | Did not occur |
2018 | Greta Thunberg (amplifying) | Humanity wiped out unless fossil fuels end in 5 years | Did not occur |
2019 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (US Rep.) | World ends in 12 years (by 2031) | Ongoing |
2019 | Maria Garces (UN GA President) | 11 years to prevent irreparable damage (by 2030) | Ongoing |
2019 | Joe Biden (US President) | 12 years to determine planet’s livability | Ongoing |
2022 | James Anderson (Harvard) | No Arctic ice by 2022 | Did not occur |
2035-2067 | Various Activists | Arctic could be ice-free between 2035 and 2067 | Pending |
This table only scratches the surface—sources like Watts Up With That have catalogued over 100 failed or exaggerated climate predictions from scientists, politicians, and media outlets. Many of these predictions were based on early or incomplete data, and some were misquoted or amplified in the media.
The recurring theme is the use of urgent, apocalyptic rhetoric to spur action, which has often resulted in deadlines that come and go without the predicted catastrophes materializing.
This cycle of dramatic warnings has persisted for over 50 years, with new voices and new deadlines emerging each decade.
Most Spectacularly Wrong Environmental Predictions from the 1970s
- Civilization Ending by 1985 or 2000
Harvard biologist George Wald predicted that civilization would end within 15 to 30 years unless immediate action was taken against environmental problems. - Widespread Famines by 1975-2000
Demographers and Paul Ehrlich predicted famines beginning in India by 1975, spreading to much of the world by 2000, with up to 100-200 million people starving annually in the 1970s and 1980s. - Air Pollution Causing Mass Deaths by Early 1970s
Paul Ehrlich predicted that air pollution would kill hundreds of thousands of Americans in smog disasters by 1973, especially in New York and Los Angeles. - Urban Dwellers Wearing Gas Masks by 1985
Life magazine reported in 1970 that urban residents would have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution by 1985, and that sunlight reaching Earth would be reduced by half due to pollution. - Oxygen Depletion in Rivers Causing Fish Deaths
Barry Commoner predicted that decaying organic pollutants would use up all oxygen in American rivers, suffocating freshwater fish. - New Ice Age by 2000
Ecologist Kenneth Watt warned that the world had been cooling since 1950 and predicted an 11°F (about 6°C) drop in global temperature by 2000, enough to trigger a new Ice Age. - Crude Oil Running Out by 2000
Kenneth Watt also predicted that by 2000, crude oil would be so depleted that people would be told at gas stations that no oil was available. - Extinction of Most Tropical Rainforests by 2005
Paul Ehrlich predicted that more than 90% of tropical rainforests would be gone by 2005, causing the extinction of half the organisms living there. - Life Expectancy Dropping to 42 Years by 1980
Paul Ehrlich warned that Americans born since 1946 would have a life expectancy of only 49 years and predicted it would drop to 42 years by 1980 due to pollution and environmental degradation. - New York Times Warning of Possible Human Extinction
The day after the first Earth Day, The New York Times editorial warned that humanity must stop pollution to avoid “possible extinction”.
So now whether you believe the latest warning is up to you.
References:
Only two years left of world’s carbon budget to meet 1.5C target, scientists warn, The Guardian, 18 Jun 2025
World’s top climate scientists expect global heating to blast past 1.5C target, The Guardian, 8 May 2024
Watts Up With That, 100 failed or exaggerated climate predictions from scientists, politicians, and media outlets (PDF)
Extinction Clock, the Internet’s authoritative source for end of world climate and extinction predictions
Predictions of Future Global Climate, UCAR Center for Client Education
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